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Nuclear Proliferation in the Middle East

Introduction

While the immediate focus of international attention has been on stopping Iran from obtaining the ability to build nuclear weapons, an equally worrisome development is that the Iranian drive to obtain a nuclear bomb has stimulated a regional race for nuclear technology to counter the perceived threat from a nuclear Iran.

Like Iran, at least twelve other Middle Eastern countries have either announced plans to explore atomic energy or have signed nuclear cooperation agreements: Saudi Arabia, Algeria, Egypt, UAE, Jordan, Morocco, Tunisia, Turkey, Syria, Kuwait, Qatar, and Oman (Two other counties - Yemen and Libya - cancelled their nuclear programs). Each of these countries, like Iran as well, have explicitly stated that they are only interested in peaceful uses of nuclear technology.

The fear is now that these countries may follow the Iranian example and work toward building a nuclear bomb to protect themselves in any future nuclear arms race.

As President Obama noted in March 2012, "It will not be tolerable to a number of states in that region for Iran to have a nuclear weapon and them not to have a nuclear weapon ... so the threat of proliferation becomes that much more severe ... The dangers of an Iran getting nuclear weapons that then leads to a free-for-all in the Middle East is something that I think would be very dangerous for the world."

These Middle East nations are increasingly apprehensive about the threat of a nuclear Iran and the failure of the international community to take decisive actions to prevent Tehran from achieving its nuclear ambitions. If the West is going to protect its interests in the region and prevent the proliferation of nuclear weapons, it is vital now that Iran be stopped so steps can be taken to rein in these new efforts to join the nuclear club.

Saudi Arabia

February 2012: The London Times quoted a "senior Saudi official" as saying that Riyadh would launch a "twin-track nuclear weapons program" should Tehran realize its ambition of obtaining a nuclear weapon.

January 2012: King Abdullah signed an agreement with China for cooperation in the development and use of atomic energy for peaceful purposes.

January 2012: A senior Saudi government official noted, "We cannot live in a situation where Iran has nuclear weapons and we don't ... If Iran develops a nuclear weapon, that will be unacceptable to us and we will have to follow suit." Prince Turki al-Faisal noted that if Iran develops a nuclear weapon, "[that] would compel Saudi Arabia ... to pursue policies which could lead to untold and possibly dramatic consequences".

February 2011: Saudi Arabia and France signed a bilateral cooperation agreement for the development of nuclear power.

July 2010: Saudi Arabia and France announced the signing of a nuclear cooperation pact in order to develop atomic energy.

August 2009: The Saudi minister of water and electricity announced that the kingdom was working on plans for its first nuclear power plant.

April 2009: King Abdullah told US diplomat Dennis Ross, "If [Iran] get nuclear weapons, we will get nuclear weapons."

May 2008: The U.S. and Saudi Arabia agreed to establish a nuclear cooperation relationship and Saudi Arabia joined the Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI).

United Arab Emirates (UAE)

July 2012: UAE began building a maiden nuclear power plant and signed an agreement with Australia for the supply of uranium.

June 2011: A national opinion poll found strong support for nuclear technology development with 85% of respondents believing in the importance of nuclear energy.

March 2011: The UAE accepted a $20 billion bid from a South Korean consortium to build four commercial nuclear power reactors, total 5.6 GWe, by 2020.

May 2010: Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed, the UAE Minister of Foreign Affairs, said they were developing nuclear technology in a "transparent, safe, secure, and peaceful" manner and outlined the UAE's policy to "develop its nuclear energy programme in a responsible manner".

August 2009: UAE joined he IAEA Convention on Nuclear Safety and the Joint Convention on the Safety of Spent Fuel Management.

May 2009: President Obama approved an agreement on nuclear energy cooperation. The agreement with the U.S. follows the public launch of a UAE policy document outlining potential development of a domestic nuclear power plant.

April 2008: UAE and U.S. signed an agreement to establish peaceful nuclear energy cooperation.

January 2008: UAE signed a deal with a French company to build two nuclear reactors. UAE also signed a nuclear framework agreement with France for cooperation in the use of nuclear energy for peaceful, civilian purposes.

Jordan

2012: Jordan announced plans to start building a nuclear power plant in 2013 for operation by 2020 and a second one for operation by 2025. In addition, Jordan signed nuclear cooperation agreements with France, Canada, UK and Russia, for both power and desalination and signed a nuclear cooperation agreement with China, covering uranium mining and nuclear power. Jordan also has cooperation agreements with South Korea, Japan, Spain, Italy, Romania, Turkey and Argentina related to infrastructure for nuclear power.

February 2011: Jordan and Turkey signed a nuclear cooperation agreement.

November 2009: Jordan signed an $11.3 million agreement with WorleyParsons for the pre-construction phase of a 1000 MWe nuclear power plant.

December 2008: Jordan signed an MOU with Korea Electric Power Corp to carry out site selection and feasibility study on nuclear power projects.

Spring 2008: Jordan signed an agreement with the Atomic Energy of Canada to conduct a study on building a reactor using natural uranium fuel for power.

August 2007: Jordan established its Committee for Nuclear Strategy and set out a program for the development of nuclear power.

January 2007: Jordanian King Abdullah announced in an interview with Haaretz that Jordan was interested in acquiring nuclear power for peaceful and energy purposes.

Turkey

January 2013: Turkish President Abdullah Gul called for a comprehensive solution to Iran's nuclear program and said Turkey does not want to see any neighboring country possess nuclear weapons. "Turkey will not accept a neighboring country possessing weapons not possessed by Turkey herself," Gul said.

March 2012: A Turkish public opinion survey found a majority of 54% supporting policies that would lead Turkey to develop their own nuclear weapons.

2011: The government announced intentions for three further nuclear power plants with four reactors each, all to be operational by 2030.

June 2010: A nuclear cooperation agreement with South Korea was signed to build the second Sinop plant with four nuclear reactors.

May 2010: Russia and Turkey signed an intergovernmental agreement for to build and operate a nuclear plant with four reactors in Akkuyu.

May 2008: A civil nuclear cooperation agreement with the USA entered into force.

February 2008: Prepatory work began to build a second nuclear power plant in Sinop.

2007: A bill concerning construction and operation of nuclear power plants and sale of their electricity was passed by parliament and subsequently approved by the President. The bill provided for the Turkish Atomic Energy Authority (TAEK) to set the criteria for building and operating the plants.

August 2006: Turkey announced plans to have three nuclear power plants total operating by 2015. Discussions had been under way with Atomic Energy of Canada Ltd regarding two units as an initial investment.

Winter 2006: The port city of Sinop was chosen to host a commercial nuclear power plant.

Egypt

June 2011: Egypt's transitional government was planning to invite international companies to bid for their reactor construction project at El-Dabaa.

2010: Cairo formally requested nuclear energy training assistance from the Korea International Cooperation Agency.

2009: The Egyptian Nuclear Power Plant Authority (NPAA) and WorleyParsons Limited concluded a $160 million contract with services to include "site and technology selection studies and carries through to design, construction management, commissioning and start-up of the 1,200 MWe nuclear power plant."

March 2007: Energy and Electricity Minister Hassan Younis announced plans to construct 10 nuclear-powered "electricity-generating stations" across the country. Russia and Egypt signed a nuclear cooperation accord in March 2008.

September 2006: Egypt announced it would revive long dormant plans to construct a nuclear enegry.

Kuwait

December 2010: Kuwait signed nuclear cooperation agreements with USA, Russia and Japan.

June 2010: Kuwait signed a Memorandum of Cooperation with the U.S. Government on nuclear safeguards and other nonproliferation topics.

September 2010: Announced intention to build 4 nuclear power reactors by 2022 but this plan was scrapped in mid-2011.

April 2010: Signed a nuclear cooperation agreement with France relating civil nuclear energy applications, including electricity generation, water desalination, research, agronomy, biology, earth sciences and medicine.

March 2009: Kuwait setup a national nuclear energy commission, in cooperation with the IAEA, to consider the development of a nuclear technology program.

Algeria

February 2009: The government announced that it planned to build its first nuclear power plant to be operating about 2020.

2008: Algeria signed other nuclear technology agreements with Argentina, China, and France.

June 2007: Algeria signed a nuclear cooperation accord with the USA to begin generating nuclear energy for civilian purposes.

January 2007: Algeria and Russia signed an agreement to investigate the establishment of a nuclear power facility.

Morocco

January 2011: The government approved plans to set up a nuclear safety agency and draft a law on nuclear security.

January 2010: Government announced plans for two nuclear reactors to start operation after 2020.

October 2007: Morocco signed a nuclear energy cooperation agreement with France to develop a nuclear power plant near Marrakesh.

2007: Nuclear power company Areva signed an agreement with Morocco's Office Cherifien des Phosphates (OCP) to recover uranium from phosphoric acid.

Qatar

2010: Qatar raised the possibility of a regional project for nuclear generation.

May 2008: Qatar sent experts to a meeting of the IAEA in Vienna.

April 2008: Qatar announced a plan to build a nuclear plant.

December 2006: Qatar was actively involved in the GCC decision to pursue nuclear energy for peaceful purposes.

Tunisia

April 2008: The nuclear cooperation agreement with France was amplified to include the possible construction of a nuclear power plant.

December 2006: Tunisia signed a nuclear cooperation agreement with France focused on nuclear power and desalination.

Syria

2011: The Syrian Atomic Energy Commission published a proposal for a new nuclear power plant by 2020.

2001-2007: Syria is believed to have been building a gas-cooled reactor similar to the plutonium production unit at Yongbyong in North Korea. This plant was destroyed by an Israeli airstrike in 2007 and all remains were subsequently demolished by the Syrian government.

Oman

February 2010: A delegation of U.S. experts met with Oman's Nuclear Steering Committee regarding areas of potential future cooperation in nuclear technology.

June 2009: Oman signed a nuclear cooperation agreement with Russia.